Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 25, 2024 at 2.25pm UK

Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium

Yemen
2 - 3
Saudi Arabia

Al-Zubaidi (8'), Majeed Mohamed Sabara (27')
Al Wasmani (45+6'), Al Matari (45+2'), Mohammed Sabah (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kanoo (30'), Al-Juwayr (57' pen.), Al Hamdan (90+3')
Al-Dawsari (58'), Al Hamdan (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Yemen and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yemen

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Yemen
Sunday, December 22 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Yemen
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-3 Bahrain
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Iraq vs. Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.96%) and 0-1 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Yemen win it was 1-0 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Yemen	Draw	Saudi Arabia
6.42% ( -0.18)	13.61% ( -0.09)	79.97% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 41.28% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18% (

-0.35)

38.82% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.86% (

-0.37)

61.13% (

0.37)

Yemen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.71% (

-0.78)

55.29% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.95% (

-0.46)

88.05% (

0.47)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.33% (

-0.02)

7.67% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.63% (

-0.05)

27.37% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Yemen 6.43%

Saudi Arabia 79.96%

Draw 13.61%

Yemen	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2% Total : 6.43%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.46% Total : 13.61%	0-2 @ 13.98% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 11.96% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 0-6 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 79.96%