Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.96%) and 0-1 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Yemen win it was 1-0 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.