Gulf Cup of Nations
Dec 25, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
  • Ali Madan 16' yellowcard
  • Ali Madan 39' goal
  • Ali Madan 47' goal
  • yellowcard Zayed Tahseen 20'

Bahrain vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 5.30pm
Saudi Arabia 2 - 3 Bahrain

Iraq

All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 2.25pm
Iraq 1 - 0 Yemen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Bahrain 30.82% (-0.11)
Draw 29.9% (-0.05)
Iraq 39.28% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.81% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.79% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 65.21% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 15.96% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 84.04% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 6.12% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 93.88% (-0.05)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5 61.82% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.17% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.06% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.94% (+0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 67.62% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 32.38% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 31.11% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 68.89% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Bahrain 30.82%
Draw 29.89%
Iraq 39.27%
Bahrain
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 30.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.35% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.89%
Iraq
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 7.86% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.27%