Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Bahrain
2 - 0
Iraq

Madan (39', 47')
Madan (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tahseen (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Bahrain and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-3 Bahrain
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Yemen
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Iraq

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Yemen
Sunday, December 22 at 2.25pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Next Game: Iraq vs. Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Iraq
30.82% ( -0.11)	29.9% ( -0.04)	39.28% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 41.81% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.79% (

0.11)

65.21% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.96% (

0.08)

84.04% (

-0.08)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

-0.02)

38.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.06% (

-0.02)

74.94% (

0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.15)

32.38% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.17)

68.89% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 30.82%

Iraq 39.27%

Draw 29.89%

Bahrain	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.89%	0-1 @ 13.93% 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.27%