Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.