Gulf Cup of Nations | Semi-finals

Dec 31, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī

Bahrain
1 - 0
Kuwait

Marhoon (75')
Abd Al Jabar (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Al Enezi (19'), Al Enezi (24'), Al Awadi (34'), Al Awadi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Bahrain and Kuwait, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Bahrain 1-2 Yemen
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Kuwait

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Kuwait 1-1 Qatar
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Kuwait
45.71% ( -0.35)	26.55% ( -0.1)	27.73% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

0.62)

54.96% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76% (

0.51)

76.23% (

-0.51)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

0.1)

23.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

0.15)

58.22% (

-0.15)

Kuwait Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

0.7)

35% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25% (

0.73)

71.75% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 45.71%

Kuwait 27.73%

Draw 26.55%

Bahrain	Draw	Kuwait
1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.71%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.73%