Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Kuwait win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.