World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Qatar
3 - 1
Kyrgyzstan

Ali (39'), Kozubayev (63'), Al Hassan (81')
Mohammed (29'), Ali (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shukorov (76')
Abdurakhmanov (5'), Mischenko (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
63.57% ( -3.78)	21.12% ( 1.63)	15.31% ( 2.15)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-2.54)

47.27% (

2.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-2.4)

69.5% (

2.41)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

-1.89)

14.2% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.07% (

-3.83)

41.93% (

3.84)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.61% (

1.56)

43.39% (

-1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.38% (

1.28)

79.62% (

-1.27)

Score Analysis

Qatar 63.56%

Kyrgyzstan 15.31%

Draw 21.11%

Qatar	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.4) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.71) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.56%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.11%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.31%