Kyrgyzstan vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.