World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova

Kyrgyzstan
2 - 3
Uzbekistan

Kojo (15'), Abdurakhmanov (35')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Shomurodov (17'), Aliqulov (45+1'), Urunov (72')
Ashurmatov (34'), Shomurodov (90+4')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Kyrgyzstan	Draw	Uzbekistan
19.7% ( -0.1)	24.14% ( -0.01)	56.16% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33% (

-0.1)

52.67% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

-0.08)

74.31% (

0.08)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

-0.17)

41.23% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

-0.15)

77.76% (

0.16)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

0.01)

18.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

0.01)

49.91% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kyrgyzstan 19.7%

Uzbekistan 56.15%

Draw 24.14%

Kyrgyzstan	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.7%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.84% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.15%