World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Folad Shahr Stadium

Iran
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Taremi (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
65.27% ( 1.79)	20.13% ( -0.64)	14.6% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

0.54)

44.41% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

0.52)

66.78% (

-0.52)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

0.7)

12.8% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.88% (

1.41)

39.12% (

-1.41)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.37% (

-1.23)

42.63% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.02% (

-1.07)

78.98% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Iran 65.26%

Kyrgyzstan 14.6%

Draw 20.13%

Iran	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.1% Total : 65.26%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.13%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.6%