Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

Iran
0 - 0
Uzbekistan


Hardani (90')
FT

Khusanov (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-1 Turkmenistan
Thursday, June 6 at 3.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
IranDrawUzbekistan
46.58% (-0.012 -0.01)24.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)28.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.44% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.65% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.42% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.59%
Score Analysis
    Iran 46.58%
    Uzbekistan 28.6%
    Draw 24.82%
IranDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Iran vs Uzbekistan

Iran
75.0%
Draw
10.7%
Uzbekistan
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 1pm
Second Round
Uzbekistan
2-2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Oct 8, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 1
Uzbekistan
1-2
Iran
Shomurodov (53')
Tukhtakhujaev (77')
Azmoun (44'), Taremi (51' pen.)
(86')
Sep 11, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
0-1
Iran

Sayfiyev (43')
Torabi (67')
Mohammadi (93')
May 19, 2018 5.15pm
International Friendlies
Iran
1-0
Uzbekistan
Cheshmi (17')
Hosseini (90')