World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Stadion Bunyodkor

Uzbekistan
3 - 1
Turkmenistan

Aliqulov (17'), Urunov (29'), Nasrullayev (70')
Ashurmatov (45'), Nasrullayev (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tirkishov (25')
Basimow (63'), Nurmuradov (90')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 3-0 Hong Kong
Tuesday, March 26 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 6.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (12.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Turkmenistan
79% ( -4.27)	14.51% ( 2.65)	6.49% ( 1.62)

Both teams to score 38.37% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

-5.41)

42.94% (

5.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.65% (

-5.59)

65.35% (

5.58)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

-2.15)

8.84% (

2.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.71% (

-5.5)

30.28% (

5.49)

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.09% (

1.67)

57.91% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.45% (

0.89)

89.54% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 78.99%

Turkmenistan 6.49%

Draw 14.51%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Turkmenistan
2-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 1.63) 3-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.96) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.68) 4-0 @ 7.39% ( -1.5) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.56) 5-0 @ 3.58% ( -1.22) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.72) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.12% Total : 78.99%	1-1 @ 6.78% ( 1.2) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.36% Total : 14.51%	0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.41) Other @ 1.84% Total : 6.49%