World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Eldor Shomurodov
20'
-
Khojimat Erkinov
63'
-
Jaloliddin Masharipov
68'
-
Oston Urunov
70'
-
Farrux Sayfiyev
80'
-
Wang Kit Tsui
90'+3'
Uzbekistan vs Hong Kong - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 78.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (12.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
Result
Uzbekistan
78.39%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
15.24%
▲
(+0.17)
Hong Kong
6.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
35.36%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.26%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 2.5
46.73%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 3.5
31%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 3.5
69%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 4.5
15.37%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 4.5
84.63%
▲
(+0.36)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5
90.08%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
9.92%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
67.15%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
32.85%
▲
(+0.44)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5
39.26%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
60.74%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
8.97%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
91.02%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Uzbekistan
78.37%
Draw
15.24%
Hong Kong
6.37%
Uzbekistan
2-0
@
16.08%
▲
(+0.10)
1-0 @ 13.92% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 12.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 78.37%
1-0 @ 13.92% ▲ (+0.20)
3-0 @ 12.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 78.37%
Draw
1-1
@
6.94%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.24%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.24%
Hong Kong
0-1
@
3.01%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 6.37%
1-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 6.37%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
-
4'
-
Eldor Shomurodov
49'
-
Rustamjon Ashurmatov
66'