Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals

Feb 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Al Bayt Stadium

Qatar
1 - 1
Uzbekistan

Al Heidos (27')
Barsham (46'), Muneer (89'), Ali (90+1'), Ro-Ro (105')

FT
(aet)

Khamrobekov (59')
Katanec (47'), Shukurov (69'), Ashurmatov (90')

Qatar win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Qatar 2-1 Palestine
Monday, January 29 at 4pm in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.94%).

Result
Qatar	Draw	Uzbekistan
27.67% ( -1.34)	28.01% ( -0.01)	44.32% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.82% (

-0.54)

60.18% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.62% (

-0.41)

80.38% (

0.41)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.11% (

-1.38)

37.89% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.34% (

-1.36)

74.66% (

1.36)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

0.45)

27.04% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

0.59)

62.41% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Qatar 27.67%

Uzbekistan 44.32%

Draw 28%

Qatar	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.32%