World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 12pm UK

Hong Kong Football Club Stadium

Hong Kong
0 - 2
Uzbekistan

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shomurodov (49'), Ashurmatov (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Hong Kong and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Uzbekistan (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uzbekistan in this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Uzbekistan
10.87% ( -0.07)	19.43% ( -0.13)	69.69% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 41.45% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97% (

0.34)

50.03% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99% (

0.3)

72.01% (

-0.3)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.76% (

0.08)

52.23% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.84% (

0.05)

86.16% (

-0.05)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78% (

0.16)

13.22% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.03% (

0.33)

39.97% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 10.87%

Uzbekistan 69.69%

Draw 19.43%

Hong Kong	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.87%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.43%	0-2 @ 14.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 69.69%