World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
4'
-
Eldor Shomurodov
49'
-
Rustamjon Ashurmatov
66'
Hong Kong vs Uzbekistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-0 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uzbekistan in this match.
Result
Hong Kong
10.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
19.43%
▼
(-0.13)
Uzbekistan
69.69%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
41.45%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.97%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
50.03%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
27.99%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
72.01%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
13.31%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 4.5
86.69%
▼
(-0.20)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5
47.76%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
52.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
13.84%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
86.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5
86.78%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
13.22%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
60.03%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
39.97%
▼
(-0.33)
Score analysis
Hong Kong
10.87%
Draw
19.43%
Uzbekistan
69.69%
Hong Kong
1-0
@
4.49%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.87%
2-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.87%
Draw
1-1
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 19.43%
0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 19.43%
Uzbekistan
0-2
@
14.13%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 13.97% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 69.69%
0-1 @ 13.97% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 69.69%