World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Didar Durdyyew
37'
-
Mergen Orazov
38'
-
Yazgylych Gurbanov
40'
-
Alibek Abdurakhmanov
58'
-
Mohammad Kanani
39'
-
Mehdi Ghaedi
45'+5'
-
Ramin Rezaeian
90'+1'
Turkmenistan vs Iran - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 84.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.78%) and 0-4 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result
Turkmenistan
4.57%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
10.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Iran
84.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
40.53%
▲
(+0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.34%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 2.5
32.66%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
45.67%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 3.5
54.33%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 4.5
26.88%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 4.5
73.12%
▼
(-0.55)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5
42.87%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
57.13%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 1.5
10.88%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
89.12%
▼
(-0.35)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5
94.55%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
5.45%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
78.69%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
21.31%
▼
(-0.30)
Score analysis
Turkmenistan
4.57%
Draw
10.67%
Iran
84.76%
Turkmenistan
1-0
@
1.74%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.57%
2-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.57%
Draw
1-1
@
5.07%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 10.67%
0-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 10.67%
Iran
0-2
@
13.18%
▼
(-0.23)
0-3 @ 12.78% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.09)
1-5 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-6 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.06)
1-6 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
0-7 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 84.76%
0-3 @ 12.78% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.09)
1-5 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-6 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.06)
1-6 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.06)
0-7 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 84.76%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
-
Mohammad Kanani
10'
-
Sardar Azmoun
13'
-
Mohammad Kanani
48'
-
Mohammad Mohebi
56'
-
Saman Fallah
89'
-
Omid Noorafkan
90'+2'