World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Asgabat Stadiony

Turkmenistan
0 - 1
Iran

Durdyyew (37'), Orazov (38'), Gurbanov (40'), Abdurakhmanov (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ghaedi (45+5')
Kanani (39'), Rezaeian (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Iran

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 84.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.78%) and 0-4 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Turkmenistan	Draw	Iran
4.57% ( 0.05)	10.67% ( -0.04)	84.77% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.53% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.34% (

0.56)

32.66% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.67% (

0.65)

54.33% (

-0.64)

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.87% (

0.64)

57.13% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.88% (

0.35)

89.12% (

-0.34)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.55% (

0.11)

5.45% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.69% (

0.3)

21.31% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Turkmenistan 4.57%

Iran 84.76%

Draw 10.67%

Turkmenistan	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 4.57%	1-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.67%	0-2 @ 13.18% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 12.78% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.21% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 0-7 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 84.76%