/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Firnlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fqatlog.png)
-
Sardar Azmoun
4'
-
Mehdi Torabi
18'
-
Ehsan Hajsafi
21'
-
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
51'
-
Shoja Khalilzadeh
90'+3'
-
Jassem Gaber
17'
-
Almahdi Ali Mukhtar
40'
-
Akram Afif
43'
-
Ahmed Fathy
49'
-
Almoez Ali
82'
-
Tintin Marquez
90'
Iran vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FAli%20Gholizadeh%20.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
Result
Iran
61.42%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
22.32%
▲
(+0.20)
Qatar
16.25%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
46.97%
▼
(-0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.48%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
50.52%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
27.56%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
72.44%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 4.5
13.02%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
86.98%
▲
(+0.31)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5
84.02%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
15.98%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
54.72%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
45.28%
▲
(+0.54)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5
55.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
44.1%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
19.8%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
80.2%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Iran
61.41%
Draw
22.32%
Qatar
16.25%
Iran
1-0
@
12.92%
▲
(+0.15)
2-0 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 61.41%
2-0 @ 11.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 61.41%
Draw
1-1
@
10.57%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.32%
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.32%
Qatar
0-1
@
5.77%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 16.25%
1-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 16.25%