World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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-
Mohammad Kanani
10'
-
Sardar Azmoun
13'
-
Mohammad Kanani
48'
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Mohammad Mohebi
56'
-
Saman Fallah
89'
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Omid Noorafkan
90'+2'
Iran vs Turkmenistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result
Iran
72.32%
▲
(+0.52)
Draw
17.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Turkmenistan
10.16%
▼
(-0.49)
Both Teams to Score:
44.97%
▼
(-1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.2%
▼
(-1.25)
Under 2.5
43.79%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 3.5
33.81%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
66.18%
▲
(+1.22)
Over 4.5
17.38%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 4.5
82.61%
▲
(+0.91)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5
89.29%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
10.71%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
65.36%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
34.63%
▲
(+0.45)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5
50.36%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 0.5
49.63%
▲
(+1.74)
Over 1.5
15.6%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 1.5
84.4%
▲
(+1.25)
Score analysis
Iran
72.31%
Draw
17.51%
Turkmenistan
10.16%
Iran
2-0
@
13.26%
▲
(+0.50)
1-0 @ 11.87% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.18)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 72.31%
1-0 @ 11.87% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.18)
5-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 72.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.32%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.51%
0-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.51%
Turkmenistan
0-1
@
3.72%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.16%
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.16%