World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 4pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Iran
5 - 0
Turkmenistan

Kanani (10', 48'), Azmoun (13'), Mohebi (56'), Noorafkan (90+2')
Fallah (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Turkmenistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Turkmenistan
72.32% ( 0.51)	17.51% ( -0.04)	10.16% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 44.97% (

-1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.2% (

-1.24)

43.79% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.81% (

-1.22)

66.18% (

1.22)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.2)

10.71% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.36% (

-0.45)

34.63% (

0.45)

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.36% (

-1.74)

49.63% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.6% (

-1.25)

84.4% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Iran 72.31%

Turkmenistan 10.16%

Draw 17.51%

Iran	Draw	Turkmenistan
2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 72.31%	1-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.51%	0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 10.16%