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World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Iran national football team

Hong Kong
2 - 4
Iran

Wai Ma (14'), Francis Pinto (59')
Pan Ngan (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Taremi (12' pen., 34' pen., 56'), Azmoun (65')
Jahanbakhsh (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Hong Kong and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Hong KongDrawIran
9.7% (0.827 0.83)15.1% (0.456 0.46)75.2% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 52.22% (1.913 1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5% (0.599 0.6)33.5% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.7% (0.681 0.68)55.3% (-0.677 -0.68)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45% (2.142 2.14)43.55% (-2.138 -2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.24% (1.731 1.73)79.75% (-1.727 -1.73)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52% (-0.123 -0.12)7.48% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.13% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)26.86% (0.325 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 9.7%
    Iran 75.2%
    Draw 15.1%
Hong KongDrawIran
2-1 @ 2.92% (0.228 0.23)
1-0 @ 2.71% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.13% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.7%
1-1 @ 7.02% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.273 0.27)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.1%
0-2 @ 10.95% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-3 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.139 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.323 -0.32)
1-3 @ 7.87% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 6.14% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-4 @ 5.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.216 0.22)
0-5 @ 3.18% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-5 @ 2.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.12% (0.127 0.13)
0-6 @ 1.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-6 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 75.2%

How you voted: Hong Kong vs Iran

Hong Kong
23.1%
Draw
15.4%
Iran
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 5.30pm
Group Stage
Hong Kong
0-1
Iran

Ming Wu (37'), Nunez (47')
Ghaedi (24')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2023 2.30pm
Second Round
Iran
4-0
Hong Kong
Azmoun (12', 15'), Taremi (87'), Rezaeian (90+2')
Khalilzadeh (82')

Nam Yue (17'), Hin Ting (38')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2021 3.30pm
Second Round
Iran
3-1
Hong Kong
Gholizadeh (23'), Amiri (61'), Ansarifard (84')
Torabi (90+1')
Kwang Cheng (85')