World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Milliy Stadion

Uzbekistan
1 - 0
North Korea

Masharipov (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 2-1 North Korea
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	3	7
2	Portugal	3	7	5
3	Ivory Coast	3	1	4
4	North Korea	3	-11	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	North Korea
70.75% ( 0.08)	18.26% ( 0.14)	10.99% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25% (

-1.26)

44.75% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

-1.23)

67.11% (

1.22)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

-0.33)

11.38% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.87% (

-0.72)

36.12% (

0.71)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.34% (

-1.23)

48.65% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.29% (

-0.9)

83.71% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 70.73%

North Korea 10.99%

Draw 18.26%

Uzbekistan	Draw	North Korea
2-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.73%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.26%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 10.99%