World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Jaloliddin Masharipov
20'
Uzbekistan vs North Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
Result
Uzbekistan
70.75%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
18.26%
▲
(+0.15)
North Korea
10.99%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
45.5%
▼
(-1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.25%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
44.75%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
32.88%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
67.11%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 4.5
16.71%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 4.5
83.29%
▲
(+0.90)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5
88.61%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
11.38%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
63.87%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 1.5
36.12%
▲
(+0.72)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5
51.34%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 0.5
48.65%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 1.5
16.29%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 1.5
83.71%
▲
(+0.90)
Score analysis
Uzbekistan
70.73%
Draw
18.26%
North Korea
10.99%
Uzbekistan
2-0
@
13.07%
▲
(+0.36)
1-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.50)
3-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.73%
1-0 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.50)
3-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.73%
Draw
1-1
@
8.67%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.26%
0-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.26%
North Korea
0-1
@
3.99%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 10.99%
1-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 10.99%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Odil Akhmedov
29'
-
Temurkhodja Abdukholiqov
69'
-
Yegor Krimets
72'
-
Dostonbek Tursunov
91'
International Friendlies
-
Marat Bikmaev
37'
-
Marat Bikmaev
90'
International Friendlies