World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

National Stadium Ramat Gan

North Korea
4 - 1
Myanmar

Ri (12'), Ri (16', 43', 87' pen.)
Kim (72'), Ri (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aung Wai (57')
Moe Kyaw (30'), Aung Wai (76'), Oo Kyaw (77'), Soe Thet (90+3'), Nyein (90+3')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between North Korea and Myanmar.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions

Last Game: North Korea 1-0 Syria
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	3	7
2	Portugal	3	7	5
3	Ivory Coast	3	1	4
4	North Korea	3	-11	0

Myanmar

Last Game: Myanmar 0-5 Japan
Thursday, June 6 at 1.10pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Korea win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 21.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Korea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Korea would win this match.

Result
North Korea	Draw	Myanmar
58.5% ( 0.64)	20.28% ( -0.14)	21.21% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 63.14% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.41% (

-0)

33.58% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.6% (

55.39% (

-0.01)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62% (

0.17)

11.37% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.9% (

0.37)

36.09% (

-0.38)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.43)

28.75% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.54)

64.59% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

North Korea 58.5%

Myanmar 21.21%

Draw 20.28%

North Korea	Draw	Myanmar
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.5%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.28%	1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 21.21%