Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for North Korea had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest North Korea win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.