World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Amman International Stadium

Jordan
3 - 0
Tajikistan

Olwan (51'), Al-Naimat (68'), Mohammad Sami (90+4')
Al-Arab (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Juraboev (67'), Panshanbe (75'), Hanonov (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Jordan and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 7-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.

Result
Jordan	Draw	Tajikistan
50.87% ( 0.46)	24.54% ( -0.05)	24.59% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-0.14)

49.14% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-0.13)

71.21% (

0.13)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

0.13)

19.32% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

0.21)

51.08% (

-0.21)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

-0.43)

34.47% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.46)

71.19% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Jordan 50.86%

Tajikistan 24.59%

Draw 24.54%

Jordan	Draw	Tajikistan
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.86%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.59%