World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

New Laos National Stadium

North Korea
2 - 2
Qatar

Ri (19'), Kang II (52')
Hyok Kim (34'), Kang (82'), Ri (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Afif (31' pen.), Ali (44')
Salman (22'), Ali (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between North Korea and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	3	7
2	Portugal	3	7	5
3	Ivory Coast	3	1	4
4	North Korea	3	-11	0

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
North Korea	Draw	Qatar
17.39% ( 0.46)	22.74% ( 0.1)	59.88% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 47.99% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

0.32)

50.36% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

0.28)

72.3% (

-0.29)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

0.76)

42.57% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.08% (

0.65)

78.92% (

-0.65)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

-0.08)

16.44% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

-0.15)

46.13% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

North Korea 17.39%

Qatar 59.87%

Draw 22.73%

North Korea	Draw	Qatar
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.39%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.86% 0-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.87%