Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 1-0 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.