Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.