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World Cup

Afghanistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Ad Dammam
Kuwait national football team

Afghanistan
0 - 4
Kuwait


Arezou (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Khaldi (18' pen., 80'), Daham (69'), Saleh (82')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Afghanistan and Kuwait.

Form, Standings, Stats

Afghanistan

Last Game: Qatar 8-1 Afghanistan
Thursday, November 16 at 3.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Kuwait

Last Game: Kuwait 0-1 India
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kuwait would win this match.

Result
AfghanistanDrawKuwait
20.58% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)23.84% (-0.211 -0.21)55.57% (0.263 0.26)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.557 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.782 0.78)50.44% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.687 0.69)72.37% (-0.684 -0.68)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.393 0.39)39% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.37 0.37)75.72% (-0.367 -0.37)
Kuwait Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.389 0.39)18% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (0.661 0.66)48.87% (-0.659 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Afghanistan 20.58%
    Kuwait 55.56%
    Draw 23.84%
AfghanistanDrawKuwait
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.58%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.9% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.55% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.071 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.53% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.56%

rhs 2.0


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