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Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
India national football team

Qatar
2 - 1
India

Aymen (73'), Al-Rawi (85')
Al-Rawi (45+1'), Alganehi (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chhangte (37')
Fernandes (58'), Bheke (90+1'), Ali (90+7'), Abdul Samad (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and India, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 Qatar
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: India 0-0 Kuwait
Thursday, June 6 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 2-0 India

Qatar may have named a relatively inexperienced squad for the current international window, but we still think that they have the quality required to claim three points in Tuesday's clash with India. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for India had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawIndia
52.97% (0.931 0.93) 24.88% (-0.232 -0.23) 22.14% (-0.701 -0.7)
Both teams to score 49.04% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.209 0.21)52.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.177 0.18)74.44% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.458 0.46)19.91% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (0.735 0.73)52.05% (-0.736 -0.74)
India Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23% (-0.564 -0.56)38.77% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (-0.539 -0.54)75.5% (0.536 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 52.96%
    India 22.14%
    Draw 24.88%
QatarDrawIndia
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 52.96%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.14%

How you voted: Qatar vs India

Qatar
69.6%
Draw
17.4%
India
13.0%
46
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 1.30pm
Second Round
India
0-3
Qatar

Jhingan (16')
Mashaal (4'), Ali (47'), Razak Youssef (86')
Jun 3, 2021 6pm
Second Round
India
0-1
Qatar

Bheke (9')
Bheke (17')
Ali Abdullatif (33')
Ali (79')
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