World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 4.45pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Qatar
2 - 1
India

Aymen (73'), Al-Rawi (85')
Al-Rawi (45+1'), Alganehi (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chhangte (37')
Fernandes (58'), Bheke (90+1'), Ali (90+7'), Abdul Samad (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and India, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 Qatar
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

India

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: India 0-0 Kuwait
Thursday, June 6 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia	3	3	7
2	Uzbekistan	3	3	5
3	Syria	3	0	4
4	India	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for India had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a India win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	India
52.97% ( 0.93)	24.88% ( -0.23)	22.14% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

0.21)

52.81% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

0.18)

74.44% (

-0.18)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.46)

19.91% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

0.73)

52.05% (

-0.74)

India Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

-0.56)

38.77% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49% (

-0.54)

75.5% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Qatar 52.96%

India 22.14%

Draw 24.88%

Qatar	Draw	India
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.14%