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World Cup

Qatar national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Qatar
1 - 3
UAE

Ali (38')
Salman (52'), Barsham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Abdalla (68'), Ibrahim (80'), Saleh (90+4')
Autonne (25'), Alghassani (44'), Essa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawUnited Arab Emirates
33.94% (0.189 0.19)26.47% (-0.164 -0.16)39.58% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.565 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.701 0.7)52.42% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.596 0.6)74.1% (-0.60000000000001 -0.6)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.468 0.47)29.27% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.569 0.57)65.23% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.309 0.31)25.96% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.413 0.41)60.97% (-0.416 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 33.94%
    United Arab Emirates 39.58%
    Draw 26.47%
QatarDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.58%

How you voted: Qatar vs UAE

Qatar
80.9%
Draw
10.6%
United Arab Emirates
8.5%
47