World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Qatar
1 - 3
UAE

Ali (38')
Salman (52'), Barsham (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdalla (68'), Ibrahim (80'), Saleh (90+4')
Autonne (25'), Alghassani (44'), Essa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: UAE 1-1 Bahrain
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	United Arab Emirates
33.94% ( 0.19)	26.47% ( -0.16)	39.58% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.7)

52.42% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.6)

74.1% (

-0.6)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

0.47)

29.27% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

0.57)

65.23% (

-0.57)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

0.31)

25.96% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

0.41)

60.97% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Qatar 33.94%

United Arab Emirates 39.58%

Draw 26.47%

Qatar	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.94%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.58%