World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium

Iran
4 - 1
Qatar

Azmoun (42', 48'), Mohebi (65', 98')
Azmoun (47'), Mohebi (51'), Ghayedi (53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ali (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: North Korea vs. Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Qatar vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (7.43%).

Result
Iran	Draw	Qatar
50.71% ( -2.98)	24.99% ( 1.06)	24.3% ( 1.92)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

-2.46)

51.23% (

2.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93% (

-2.19)

73.07% (

2.19)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

-2.12)

20.21% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.47% (

-3.51)

52.52% (

3.51)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

0.4)

35.87% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35% (

0.4)

72.65% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Iran 50.71%

Qatar 24.3%

Draw 24.98%

Iran	Draw	Qatar
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.71%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.78) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.3%