World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Al-Nahyan Stadium

UAE
0 - 1
Iran

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ghaedi (45+3')
Jahanbakhsh (35'), Ghoddos (48'), Kanani (90+6'), Mohammadi (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Iran

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Iran
30.27% ( -5.02)	25.44% ( -0.86)	44.29% ( 5.88)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

2.29)

49.22% (

-2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

2.03)

71.28% (

-2.03)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

-2.12)

30.12% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

-2.63)

66.26% (

2.63)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

22.19% (

-4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

5.68)

55.59% (

-5.68)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 30.27%

Iran 44.29%

Draw 25.43%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -1.31) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -1.13) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.6) Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.27%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.71) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.99) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.82) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.86) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.36) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.46) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.28% Total : 44.29%