Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Iran in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iran.