Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.