World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Milliy Stadion

Uzbekistan
0 - 0
Iran

Sayfiyev (19'), Khamrobekov (30'), Ashurmatov (90+7')

Hardani (57'), Ghoddos (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Iran

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Iran
33.32% ( 2.64)	28.82% ( -0.09)	37.86% ( -2.55)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.66% (

0.81)

61.33% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.75% (

0.6)

81.24% (

-0.6)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

2.36)

34.23% (

-2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

2.45)

70.92% (

-2.45)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

-1.12)

31.26% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

-1.33)

67.61% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 33.32%

Iran 37.86%

Draw 28.8%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 37.86%