Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.