World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

UAE
1 - 1
North Korea

Al Ghassani (66')
Autonne (84'), Meloni (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jong (86')
Hyok Kim (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and North Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

North Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	North Korea
55.42% ( -5.22)	23.61% ( 1.1)	20.97% ( 4.12)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

3.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

1.26)

49.04% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

1.13)

71.12% (

-1.13)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-1.38)

17.54% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

-2.46)

48.08% (

2.46)

North Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19% (

5.4)

37.81% (

-5.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42% (

4.89)

74.58% (

-4.88)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 55.41%

North Korea 20.97%

Draw 23.6%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	North Korea
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -1.18) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -1.55) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -1.22) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.67) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.67) Other @ 1% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.98) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.68) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.33) Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.97%