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World Cup

Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Milliy Stadion
United Arab Emirates national football team

Uzbekistan
1 - 0
UAE

Shukurov (76' pen.)
Nasrullaev (94')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saleh (94')
Hamad (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
Last Game: UAE 1-1 North Korea
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw has a probability of 26.8% and a win for United Arab Emirates has a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it is 0-1 (8.35%).

Result
UzbekistanDrawUnited Arab Emirates
53.21% (-4.064 -4.06)26.77% (1.282 1.28)20.02% (2.782 2.78)
Both teams to score 41.37% (0.959 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52% (-1.078 -1.08)61.47% (1.077 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65% (-0.808 -0.81)81.35% (0.80799999999999 0.81)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-2.169 -2.17)23.37% (2.169 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (-3.258 -3.26)57.35% (3.258 3.26)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (2.703 2.7)46.01% (-2.702 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.27% (2.022 2.02)81.73% (-2.021 -2.02)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 53.2%
    United Arab Emirates 20.02%
    Draw 26.76%
UzbekistanDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.918 -0.92)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.346 -0.35)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 53.2%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.61 0.61)
0-0 @ 10.75% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.919 0.92)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.567 0.57)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.569 0.57)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs UAE

Uzbekistan
78.0%
Draw
16.0%
United Arab Emirates
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2020 3.20pm
Friendlies 2
UAE
1-2
Uzbekistan
Tagliabue (90+1' pen.)
Esmaeel (81')
Sergeev (48', 86')
Khalmukhamedov (31'), Yoldoshev (90')