World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
3 - 2
Uzbekistan

Ali (25', 41'), Mendes (90')
Fathi (64'), Al Bayati (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fayzullaev (75', 80')
Masharipov (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Iran 4-1 Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: UAE vs. Qatar
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Uzbekistan

All competitions

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: North Korea vs. Uzbekistan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Uzbekistan
29.22% ( -8.18)	26.59% ( 0.3)	44.19% ( 7.88)

Both teams to score 50.2% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63% (

-2.93)

54.37% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-2.5)

75.75% (

2.5)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

-6.82)

33.54% (

6.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82% (

-8.2)

70.18% (

8.19)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

2.89)

24.46% (

-2.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

3.9)

58.91% (

-3.9)

Score Analysis

Qatar 29.22%

Uzbekistan 44.19%

Draw 26.59%

Qatar	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -1.36) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -1.47) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -1.12) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -1.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.59) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.22%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 2.08) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.78) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 1.99) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.67) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 1.16) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.33) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.48) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.19%