Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.