Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 24, 2024 at 2.25pm UK

Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex

Oman
2 - 1
Qatar

Al Sabhi (20' pen., 52')
Mabrook Nasib Al Mushaifri (29'), Al-Alawi (45+3'), Saleh Al Mukhaini (85'), Saleh (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ali (2')
Fathy (46'), Ahmed (47'), Abdulsalam (80'), Ahmed (85'), Abdulsalam (90+8'), Barsham (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Oman and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oman

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Kuwait 1-1 Oman
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Qatar

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Qatar 1-1 UAE
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uzbekistan	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0
4	North Korea	0	0	0
5	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0
6	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Qatar win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.

Result
Oman	Draw	Qatar
42.12% ( 0.5)	25.69% ( -0.08)	32.19% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

0.2)

49.55% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

0.18)

71.58% (

-0.18)

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.34)

23.36% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.49)

57.33% (

-0.49)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.17)

28.99% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

-0.22)

64.88% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Oman 42.12%

Qatar 32.19%

Draw 25.68%

Oman	Draw	Qatar
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.19%