World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex

Oman
1 - 3
South Korea

Jung (45+2' og.)
Al-Saadi (56'), Al Khamisi (64'), Al Harthi (64'), Sultan Saif Al Rawahi (64'), Al-Busaidi (90+5'), Al-Busaidi (90+13')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hee-chan (10'), Heung-min (82'), Min-Kyu (90+11')
Seol (45+1'), Kang-in (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Oman and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oman

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Iraq 1-0 Oman
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 0-0 Palestine
Thursday, September 5 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oman had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Oman win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Oman	Draw	South Korea
20.85% ( -3.25)	22.99% ( -0.76)	56.17% ( 4.02)

Both teams to score 53.07% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

-0.31)

46.57% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.29)

68.85% (

0.29)

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.48% (

-3.19)

36.52% (

3.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

-3.36)

73.31% (

3.36)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

1.34)

16.39% (

-1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

2.37)

46.04% (

-2.37)

Score Analysis

Oman 20.85%

South Korea 56.16%

Draw 22.98%

Oman	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.68) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.29) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.85%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.95) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.46) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.16%