Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Yemen win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.