Gulf Cup of Nations | Final

Jan 4, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium

Oman
1 - 2
Bahrain

Rahman Al Mushaifri (17')
Al Alawi (46'), Al Sabhi (90+11'), Al-Rushaidi (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marhoon (79' pen.), Saleh Ali Al Musalami (80' og.)
Al Shamsan (43'), Al Romaihi (56'), Al-Humaidan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Oman and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oman

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Oman 2-1 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	South Korea	0	0	0
2	Iraq	0	0	0
3	Jordan	0	0	0
4	Oman	0	0	0
5	Kuwait	0	0	0
6	Palestine	0	0	0

Bahrain

All competitions

Gulf Cup of Nations

Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Kuwait
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Oman	Draw	Bahrain
46.53% ( 0.05)	28.73% ( -0.02)	24.74% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 41.46% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36% (

0.05)

64% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.81% (

0.03)

83.18% (

-0.03)

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.05)

27.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.06)

63.26% (

-0.06)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.35% (

42.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.01% (

78.99%

Score Analysis

Oman 46.52%

Bahrain 24.73%

Draw 28.72%

Oman	Draw	Bahrain
1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.73%