Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Danubio
48.01% ( -0.31)	26.46% ( 0.13)	25.54% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.09% (

-0.34)

55.91% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99% (

-0.28)

77.02% (

0.28)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.28)

23.32% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

-0.42)

57.27% (

0.42)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.65% (

-0.03)

37.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

-0.03)

74.14% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Nacional 48.01%

Danubio 25.54%

Draw 26.45%

Nacional	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.54%