Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 38.19% ( | 28.59% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.44% ( | 60.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.33% ( | 80.66% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( | 30.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( | 66.91% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( | 33.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.21% |