Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 38.98% | 26.14% | 34.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% | 72.78% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% | 63.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.88% |