Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 31.36% | 24.06% | 44.58% |
| Both teams to score 59.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% | 42.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% | 65.02% |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% | 26.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.18% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% | 19.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% | 51.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.21% Total : 44.58% |