Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 48.22% ( | 23.42% ( | 28.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% ( | 41.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.3% ( | 63.69% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( | 27.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( | 62.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.36% |