National League | Gameweek 16

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 0
Aldershot

Dieseruvwe (5', 54')
Sheron (57'), Ferguson (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henry (17'), Scott (49'), Hargreaves (81'), Jones (81')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Hartlepool
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 0-0 Southend
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Aldershot Town
38.98% ( -0.05)	24.04% ( -0.01)	36.98% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 61.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.93% (

0.04)

41.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.54% (

0.04)

63.46% (

-0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0.01)

21.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91% (

-0.01)

54.08% (

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

0.04)

22.2% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

0.06)

55.6% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 38.98%

Aldershot Town 36.98%

Draw 24.03%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.98%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.98%