National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Banks (29')
Jones (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sheron (5')
Campbell (23'), Dodds (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead
Saturday, October 19 at 3.05pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Hartlepool United
36.15% ( -0.02)	23.95% ( -0)	39.9% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.56% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29% (

0.02)

40.71% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.91% (

0.02)

63.09% (

-0.02)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54%

22.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

-0)

56% (

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

0.02)

20.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84% (

0.04)

53.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 36.15%

Hartlepool United 39.9%

Draw 23.94%

Altrincham	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.15%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.9%