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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Dagenham & Redbridge

Altrincham
2 - 1
Dag & Red

Linney (1'), Crawford (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (40' pen.)
Woodhouse (20'), Kalambayi (24'), Grego-Cox (59')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Dagenham & Redbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Boston
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
44.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)24.83% (-0.376 -0.38)31.05% (0.338 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.79% (1.426 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (1.785 1.79)46.25% (-1.787 -1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (1.659 1.66)68.55% (-1.662 -1.66)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.765 0.77)21.02% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (1.178 1.18)53.81% (-1.181 -1.18)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (1.116 1.12)28.1% (-1.117 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (1.395 1.4)63.77% (-1.396 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 44.11%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.05%
    Draw 24.83%
AltrinchamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.458 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.334 -0.33)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.129 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.05%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Dag & Red
3-1
Altrincham
Hill (42' pen.), Rees (61'), Phipps (64')
Appiah-Forson (35'), Rees (90+4')
Linney (45+1' pen.)
Newby (50'), Wilson (76')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Altrincham
1-1
Dag & Red
Conn (80')
Banks (45'), Jones (85')
Phipps (90+7')
Hare (35'), Eastman (39'), Ibie (90+8')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Altrincham
2-2
Dag & Red
Hulme (46'), Phipps (65' og.)
Effiong (41' pen.), Saunders (77')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dag & Red
4-1
Altrincham
Onariase (26'), Vilhete (34'), Barrows (65' og.), Walker (69')
Lundstram (78')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Altrincham
3-0
Dag & Red
Mooney (19'), Hulme (30'), Hancock (53')
Perritt (90')

McCallum (90')