National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
2 - 1
Eastleigh

Barham (70'), Jones (79')
Ghandour (42'), Widdrington (59'), Mullins (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Francillette (49')
Quigley (18'), Maguire (41'), Shade (68'), Fernandez (70'), McCallum (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eastleigh

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-1 Southend
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Eastleigh
55.93% ( -0.35)	22.86% ( 0.04)	21.2% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 54% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

0.2)

45.6% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

0.19)

67.92% (

-0.19)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

-0.05)

16.13% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.44% (

-0.09)

45.56% (

0.09)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

0.42)

35.62% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

0.43)

72.39% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 55.93%

Eastleigh 21.2%

Draw 22.86%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.93%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.2%