Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Southend United |
27.13% ( -0.16) | 26.73% ( 0.12) | 46.14% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.48% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( -0.53) | 55.95% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( -0.43) | 77.05% ( 0.44) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% ( -0.42) | 36.03% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% ( -0.43) | 72.81% ( 0.44) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( -0.21) | 24.21% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( -0.3) | 58.55% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 27.13% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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