Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 47.34% | 24.87% ( | 27.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( | 48.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% | 70.31% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( | 20.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% | 52.81% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% | 67.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.79% |